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DON’T PANIC

It’s highly entertaining to watch the childish melodrama exhibited by many of our elected congressional “leaders” and their equally childish counterparts in the financial markets. These people (the news pundits, the politicians, and the investors) should all grow some intestinal fortitude, slow down, take a breath, and think through the financial crisis and so-called bailout carefully.

Yes, the cost of doing nothing will likely be high; but so will the cost of rashly doing the wrong thing.

Tomorrow morning, no matter what the markets do, my partner will still kiss me goodbye on her way to work. My cats will still lovingly harass me until I get out of bed to feed them. The sun will still come up. I’ll still need to pass water and break my fast. Yes, my retirement portfolio is much smaller this morning than it was yesterday… in fact, I lost more than my gross annual salary in one day of market histrionics. A lot of people did. Take a breath, the good news is that our portfolios will recover in time.

Our congress has accidentally and for all the wrong reasons actually done the right thing. The revised bill that failed yesterday needed to fail. It was a bad bill for hundreds of reasons that people much smarter than me have detailed at length. The roll call of votes and the comments afterwards are not only entertaining because of the silly melodrama, but they also demonstrate that congress is aware there is a problem and it needs addressing. They’ll eventually follow the wiser members of the American public and come up with a reasonable plan without the gaping holes in the one that got rejected yesterday. It’s sad that the so called leadership is not leading, but sometimes leadership has to defer to others… and in this case I think a time out is a good thing.

A deal will happen, it may be smaller (or larger), but it will likely be a better deal and one that more people can vote for without fear of losing re-election. No need to panic. Keep an eye out for possible buying opportunities in the next week or so. Good luck, hug your friends and family, and keep it real.

Update: Full disclosure; I am not a market analyst nor a financial expert by any means. I am a UNIX Systems Administrator/Analyst, a living history hobbyist, a political activist, a scuba diver, and I study the Lotus Sutra. I read others, and because people are asking I will share some of my sources on this issue:

Barry Ritholtz
Mark Blacknell
Ben Tomhave
Andrew Sullivan has links to many different explainations
Even BoingBoing has had lucid and interesting information; which is not what I’d expect from an entertainment site, but I’ll take it
BoingBoing Bailout Pros and Cons
As John Gruber implies – it’s a rare day when I find Newt Gingrich making sense, and even Newt is/was calling for slow deliberation.

Update 2: Robert Reich thinks a scaled down version will get passed this week.

Update 3: it looks like the Federal Reserve has been quietly lending huge amounts of money to the banks since Monday to improve market liquidity; if that does not help the problem a lot, it will at least buy us some time. Hat tip to Vivian Paige for catching this and pointing out.

Blind Spots and the Perception of Reality

Wow, a co-worker forwarded this link about the Blind Spot each of our eyes has and it got me to thinking a little.

If Chris Davis (the author of that link) is correct, and this means that our brains are not seeing what is reality, but only our own perception of reality, partially fabricated to fill in missing data; then we are seeing the world we want to see, or perhaps think we ought to see. It brings into question some very interesting debate about what exactly is real.

Makes the quote from Myth-busters even more interesting:

“I substitute your reality with my own.”

Faster Web Browsing over Wireless

Almost two months ago I wrote and started investigating why web browsing on my MacBook Air was sluggish. Well, I tried a few things, and then had to focus on other issues and put that problem aside for a bit.

I am happy to say my friend Anthony asked about the same issue and I was able to dig a little deeper. I discovered that DNS lookups over WiFi are much slower than over wired ethernet. I am not sure why this is yet, but I found a work-around. Stand up a caching DNS server on your wireless laptop.

In Mac OS X 10.5 (Leopard) is trivially easy:

sudo launchctl load -w /System/Library/LaunchDaemons/org.isc.named.plist

sudo launchctl start org.isc.named

In Tiger or Panther you’ll need some more UNIX skills, but it is not very difficult to set up a caching name server on any flavor of Mac OS X. Vastly faster web browsing now!

This link may help those of you using Tiger.

I am sure the same problem can be helped on Linux and/or Windows with the same trick though the commands are likely a bit different.

Obama, a closer examination; part 2

A couple of weeks ago I wrote a post examining why Barack Obama is the obvious choice for president based on who his likely Supreme Court Justice nominations will be. It is time we looked at another very important issue that the person filling the office of president will face; foreign policy.

A great deal of rhetoric has been spoken and written about Senator John McCain’s many years of experience on foreign policy, and at a superficial glance, conventional wisdom would be that anyone who has been a senator for as long as McCain (since 1983 I think) and a veteran as well would have lots of experience with foreign policy. Conventional wisdom also suggests that an Illinois state senator and freshman U.S. senator would not have so much foreign policy experience. Let me tell you why conventional/superficial readings are completely reversed in this case…

The strange thing is that as a 26 years of U.S. senator, John McCain has not earned very much respect from foreign governments nor from their populations at all. For someone with the carefully engineered reputation of being a maverick, he has failed to capture the imaginations of anyone outside the United States other than the theocratic government of Iran and the Hamas terrorist organization. In fact, John McCain has clearly demonstrated over the past 26 years how inept and undiplomatic he can be, repeatedly offending our allies and potential allies; encouraging our enemies, and making everyone outside the United States very angry at us for his embarrassingly childish rhetoric. As recently as last week McCain either did not know who Spanish Prime Minister Zapatero is, or decided to be offensive to our long time NATO ally, Spain, during an interview with a Spanish language reporter.

Perhaps even stranger, a freshman senator from Illinois has managed to capture the world’s attention already; and he’s not even finished with his first term. Barack Obama already sits on the Senate foreign relations committee. He has always urged focus on Al Qaeda in Afghanistan and in Pakistan while President Bush and Senator McCain have been focused on Iraq and/or Iran (it’s not even clear McCain can tell the difference between Iraq and Iran). In fact, Obama is alone amongst all the candidates in urging a clear focus on Pakistan last year, and that push has been vindicated recently.

Senator Obama’s whole life has been preparing him for exactly this kind of role. I am the grown child of a US Air Force enlisted man, and as such I grew up moving from place to place and learning about different cultures. It is so completely imbued into my existence that I sometimes find it hard to imagine what it is like only knowing one town for a large part of a person’s life. Likewise, Senator Obama grew up all over the world; and his diverse experience and heritage naturally and deeply lend themselves to that same global worldview and ingrained sensitivity to cultural exchange. ShadowSD writes:

    “Barack Obama’s diverse heritage provides an inherent credibility in the world’s two most explosive regions (Africa and the Middle East)”

    “Obama’s rise has the Muslim World giving America a second look, and he is already viewed with more confidence in 22 countries than McCain.”

Barack Obama has become our most traveled freshman senator. He has helped negotiate a cease fire in Nigeria; focused on the reduction of weapons stockpiles in Russia; spoke out against violence in Darfur. He is definitely a man to be reckoned with in foreign policy, and has clearly established his record on the matter as a man of great substance, sensitivity, and depth. He is so far out of McCain’s league that McCain’s bid for the presidency based on foreign policy “experience” has become completely laughable.

Personal integrity comes up in foreign policy as well, for the leaders of other nations do not trust a man with a track record of telling lies. Obama has a reputation for honesty and integrity; for telling it like it is even when that may not be something we want to hear. McCain’s reputation may have been good at one time, but lately the pack of lies foisted off on the world by him and by his campaign and endorsed by him is truly shocking. It will be very hard for anyone to believe him; though they’ll have to take anyone filling the office of president seriously.

I, for one, would gladly take the safe and careful bet that the man with less experience will do a better job than the man who has proven again and again exactly how dangerous his sophomoric temper tantrums can be. Our nation’s reputation rides on this, and our ability to effect positive change on the world’s stage.

As a veteran, this is a critical issue for me; I know many veterans agree and we’ll be voting for the more promising candidate. Vote for Barack Obama to be your next president; it is the only rational thing to do.

Whacky Fun!

Just for your entertainment, I have a whacky fun new conspiracy theory…. this election’s October surprise from the Rovian arm of the Republican Party will be…

Senator John McCain steps aside and claims it is for a sudden change in his health and asks Mitt Romney to step into his place on a Romney/Palin ticket… but Romney replaces the baggage of Palin with Pawlenty, leaving us with Romney/Pawlenty and a much more competitive Republican ticket.

This whacky conspiracy theory is brought to you by a long day of shutting down Sun servers and not enough caffeine; oh, and by the number 3 and the letters M and X.

Update: In all seriousness folks, since McCain is suspending his campaign to focus on the financial crisis, isn’t that tantamount to saying that the current President Bush is incapable of handling the crisis? No… Really! Think about it.

Spam phone calls at work from 800-969-8542

So I’ve been getting bogus calls at work from 800-969-8542. I also get calls at work for a former employee who had the same extension, and politely explain the former worker has not worked here in years. These are not the calls from several different numbers all looking for the former employee.

These calls have me answering the phone, and no one talks at all for longer than I am willing to wait.
The are not like most cold-caller spam calls in that the number is not blocked from Caller-ID.
Calling that number always gets a busy signal.

Now that I’ve had several from the same number, I googled it:

Google Search on 800-969-8542

Interesting, with as many complaints as I can find online about the same number, you’d think the number would be taken away or something… At least at work, we can configure the ShoreTel to ignore calls from that number.

I am filing a complaint with: https://www.ftccomplaintassistant.gov

Update: Oh joy, the FTC complaint website is broken. Fail!

La Belle Public Shows in October

La Belle Compagnie is participating in two public shows this October. La Belle is a living history group focused on English history during the Hundred Year’s War, and right now we are focused on 1388.

The first is from 9am to 5pm on October 4th and 5th in Charlottesville, Virginia; it is called the American History Weekend and will be at the Albemarle County Office Building, 401 McIntire Road. The site is charging $5 per family or individual, and there will be re-enactors and living history interpreters there from several different eras. This being Virginia, there should be lots of Civil War and Colonial Virginia re-enactors; and this year they have expanded the scope to include groups (like ours) who interpret earlier periods history as well.
The second is on October 18th and 19th in Media, Pennsylvania; it is called Medieval Days and it will be at the Colonial Pennsylvania Plantation in Ridley Creek State Park (note: their website is broken, and does NOT show the 2008 events schedule in Firefox nor Safari, though it does work in OmniWeb).

    October 18th; 10am to 5pm (last entry at 4pm)

    October 19th; 10am to 3:30pm (last entry at 2:30pm)

    Admission: Adults $8, Ages 4-12 $6, under 4 get in free

The Plantation is located in Ridley Creek State Park, Edgmont Township, Delaware County, Pennsylvania.

It’s lots of fun for the whole family in either case. Anyone interested in history will like these events, and children studying these periods in school may learn more about history by touching armor or watching embroidery than they do in classrooms.

All images in this post are from La Belle Compagnie.

Prince William County Insanity Continues

Sick of presidential election news and national politics? Guess what I get to come home to in my own local county… bigotry, racism, and fear…. no just by some of the residents; but by people officially selected for public service positions by our “enlightened” county Board of Supervisors.

Huge thank you to Eric Byler for pointing this out:

    Supervisor John Stirrup (R) of Gainesville appointed Robert Duecaster of “Help Save Manassas” to our Human Services Committee, calling into question the role uncontrolled rage and racism in county government.

Now, check out the video of Robert Duecaster addressing the county board of supervisors in public meetings; uh, perhaps I should advise you NOT to view immediately after eating, he’ll make you sick:

http://www.thepetitionsite.com/3/we-deserve-to-know

If you live in Prince William County, please, please, please sign the petition; and register, and vote, and remember which supervisors voted for the appointment of Duecaster and vote against them in the next election.

I almost feel sorry for Microsoft…

In case the embedding does not work:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MIAOWFb9z5E

Ninja Cat comes closer without moving!

In case the embedding does not work:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=muLIPWjks_M