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Superdelegate Tuesday

A flood of super delegate endorsements for Barack Obama have come in today. According to both CBS and CNN, Obama’s total count is now 2106 (Update: now all the sources I track delegates with agree that Obama has over 2100 delegates, he will definitely cross the 2117 line tonight) which puts him close enough that it is very likely he will win the nomination with today’s closed South Dakota primary and today’s open Montana primary (he expected to pull in 17-18 pledged delegates between the two states; and there are a few Montana supers who will declare for the winner of their state). Keep in mind that CNN and CBS are at odds with RCP and DCW and the NYT. Even AP who has called the nomination for Obama (prematurely I suspect) has him only at 2093; which is not quite enough to win tonight. It will be a long and interesting night for poll watchers. Update: now that they all agree, CNN and CBS are out in front again and they report that Clinton can no longer win as there are fewer delegates left than she needs to win.

If that happens, Barack Obama will have won the number of delegates necessary. It also means that there will be too few delegates left for Hillary Clinton to secure the nomination. Both thresh holds will be crossed at the same time.

I updated my spreadsheet at 12:20 (new) Eastern:
http://web.mac.com/scottdavidnolan

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