With the change of endorsement from Joe Andrew today, Obama needs only 289 delegates to win the nomination.
There are 408 pledged delegates yet to be aligned by primaries in the few remaining states and territories. Very likely that will split very close to evenly (my own prediction is that Obama gets 205 of them and Clinton gets 203 of them; the leaked spreadsheet predicted 208 for Obama and 200 for Clinton). Either way, if the voting goes roughly half and half, that puts Obama where he only needs about 89 of the 285 remaining super delegates.
Super delegates are deciding at a pretty steady trickle of a few per day, and they are coming in almost evenly between the two candidates… which should put Obama over the top in late May or early June.
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